College Planning: Grants, Work-Study, and Loans

In our prior videos (College Planning), we have talked about ways to reduce the cost of education through AP course, college selection, and scholarships.  Assuming you have done that and still have a shortfall, you are probably moving on to methods of obtaining financial aid.  Today we are going to talk about the $150 billion in federal aid that the US Department of Education offers to 15 million students each year.

Before getting into it, there is a common form that most students and parents will fill out, called the FAFSA (link), or the Free Application for Financial Student Aid.  If you have your tax and investment documents together, the FAFSA form is neither difficult nor time consuming to complete.  The FAFSA form calculates something called the Expected Family Contribution (EFC).  The EFC is exactly as it sounds:  the amount that the parents and child are expected to contribute toward the child’s educational expenses for that year.  It is worth noting, that many states including Wisconsin (link), also have aid forms available, that you probably should also fill out to attempt to receive their aid.

Each college you are considering has their own number called the Cost of Attendance (COA). Quite simply, if the COA is higher than the EFC, then you have a reasonable likelihood of receiving some form of financial aid.  The aid can be awarded in grants, work-study, or loans.

Grants of course are the most attractive, because they don’t have to be repaid. If some of your aid comes as grants, rejoice! Quite simply, however, there is not enough money to go around to make it free for everyone.

That means we move on to work-study programs.  The ideal work-study job is one in which little actual work needs to be done.  My favorite example is the parking lot attendant.  Perhaps a car leaves every 15 minutes or so, where you need to accept payment, which takes perhaps 30 seconds.  Then you have another 10-20 minutes to be reading or studying before the next car comes along.  This is an ideal situation – the employer needs someone there, but the work only happens intermittently.

Last, loans.  Let me caution you here.  Loans dig a deeper hole.  As of 2015 here in Wisconsin, for students that take loans, the average loan balance is $29,000 at graduation(1).  Nationwide, former students owe $1.26 trillion(2).  With that in mind, I want to reiterate how important it is to be sure that the courses and majors you are pursuing are likely to have a reasonable career with an income that can support your student loan repayment, along with your other goals.  I am personally aware of someone that spent $200,000 on an undergraduate degree that they are not using and will not use.  I don’t know the exact amount that was borrowed, but surely some of it was.  That was clearly a poor use of that money, essentially a 4 year expensive vacation from reality.  

Take note that some loans are federally subsidized, which at ground level means lower interest rates, payments delayed until you graduate or leave school, and in some careers may mean partial loan forgiveness.  Private (non-subsidized) loans, on the other hand, have much less favorable interest rates and payment terms.

To sum it up, be sure to do the FAFSA to take a shot at receiving aid.

Warmly,

Patrick Stoa
Financial Advisor

[1] $29,000 per WI student:  http://ticas.org/posd/map-state-data
[2] $1.26 Trillion total:  https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/hhdc(2nd chart with the detail of the Non-Housing Debt Balance, Q1 2016

Links are being provided for information purposes only. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize or sponsor any of the listed websites or their respective sponsors. Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any website or the collection or use of information regarding any website's users and/or members.

College Planning: Athletic, Academic, Community, Specialty, and Workplace Scholarships

In our first college planning video, we highlighted advanced placement credits, college selection, and military scholarships. Today we are going to talk about other scholarships: athletic, academic, and community/specialty/employer scholarships.

First of all, let’s talk about something that many athletes dream about:  The Full Ride. I hate to burst your bubble, but it is not common at all. First of all, Division 3 schools cannot give athletic scholarships. Likewise, Division 1 and 2 schools are typically limited in how many scholarships they can give out per sport. The reality is that they have far fewer to give than they have athletes. So, even if offered, it is quite common for scholarships to be partial scholarships.

Still, if you can get a partial scholarship to do something you like doing, that’s great. Partial scholarships are still great way to cut down on college costs.  One of the key things we learned through our daughter pursuing an athletic scholarship is that the coaches want to communicate with the athlete, and not with the parent.  The coach and the athlete are the ones that will be practicing together for 4 years, so they have to develop the relationship.     

One dilemma: does the school offering the athletic scholarship have the expertise in your desired major(s)?  How about your plan B, what if you change your mind partway through and want to go to a different field of study.  It happens, a lot. Another thing to consider is that practice and competition schedules are priority number one, so working to supplement your income may be difficult. Social life can be different if your team practices at 6am most days.

Let’s move on to Academic Scholarships. These are great if you can get them.  Basically, you are being rewarded for being a good high school student.  Typically there is an application of some sort, with grades, test scores, outside activities such as service hours, and an essay taken into account.  In some cases, you can submit one application for multiple scholarships.  I am mixed about the benefit of a single application for many scholarships.  Yes, you easily applied for several, but so did everybody else, and the money is not unlimited.  So you are not ahead. Sometimes your school of choice will offer scholarships to applicants who meet certain criteria. For example, at the University of Alabama, high test scores and a high GPA can earn you full tuition even for out of state students.  They are not alone in this.

Lastly, let’s talk about Community, Specialty and Workplace scholarships. These can be scholarships that are available to a more limited number of people. Typically to be eligible, you have to live in a certain area, be going into a certain field of study, maybe be in a certain club or activity, or have parents that are employed by a certain company.  A well-known example of what I call a specialty scholarship is the Evans Scholar program for golf caddies.  As far as workplace scholarships, in our area I am aware of several large employers that give scholarships of $500 to $1,000 a year for children of employees.  These are not well advertised, and sometimes you have to actively search for them.  The nice thing about these types of scholarships is that far fewer people apply for them, so your odds of being awarded the scholarship go up dramatically.

Best of luck with scholarships.  Next time we are going to talk about financial need programs and FAFSA, along with work studies and student loans.

Respectfully,

Patrick Stoa

Financial Advisor.

patrick@maccofinancial.com

Links are being provided for information purposes only. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize or sponsor any of the listed websites or their respective sponsors. Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any website or the collection or use of information regarding any website's users and/or members.

College Planning: Advance Placement, College Selection, & Military Benefits

Does the potential cost of college have you worried?  Today we are going to talk about ways to plan for college costs.  There are several ways, but we are going to focus on 3 that I think you can control. This is near and dear to me as I have 6 kids, with the first one just entering her 2nd year of college. Possibly 5 more to go, so I appreciate any avenue to save money while still getting a good value in this area.

Personally, I think the overall strategy for college planning should be one of pursuing a good return on investment for the time and money spent on college.  There are really two ways to get a better return on investment – either lower the amount invested, or increase the return.  Today we are talking about lowering the amount invested, making it easier to afford to go. We are also going to stick to the things that are almost completely within your control – advanced placement credits, college selection, and military benefits. In a later video we will talk about some things that are nice, like scholarships, but not completely in your control.

Early on, long before a child is selecting a college, you can start to reduce your potential college costs through courses known as Advanced Placement courses your high school may offer. In our case, our local high school offered “AP” courses starting as early as sophomore year. How the basic AP courses work is that the child takes the course at their high school, and at the end of the year they sign up for a test for about $100. If they do well enough on the test, then many colleges will accept that as completed college credits. For example, my oldest daughter left high school with more than a full year of college credits (about 30 credits). The total cost for this was maybe around $1,000. Think about that. That boost allows her to get into higher level courses sooner, and likely get a double major in the same time that others would get a single major. What’s the downside? Not every college accepts the credits. The colleges least likely to accept the credits seem to be the prestigious schools, such as some of the Ivy League schools. However, most of the state schools do allow for AP credits.

Likewise, college selection makes an enormous impact on total cost. The average published tuition cost for local 2 year colleges is about $3,500 a year, compared to around $32,000 for private 4 year colleges.  Public Universities are in the middle, around $9,500 for in state students in around $24,000 for out of state students. To help students and their families calculate these costs, many colleges have net cost calculators available on their websites. These calculators will ask a number of questions regarding your situation, let you know of certain scholarships that you may automatically qualify for based on factors such as GPA, SAT or ACT test scores, and analyze your financial situation giving you an estimate of expected aid to help determine what the rough net cost will be. The net calculators are important, since several of the private schools with quite large published tuition rates, will regularly discount to attract good students.

The last of the controllable costs is military benefits. The reason I am including them is that, for the most part, healthy young high school graduates could take advantage of them. And the benefits are quite significant. There are two basic benefits, the first being ROTC, or Reserved Officers Training Corps, and the second being the GI bill. The ROTC program is quite good.  It varies by branch, but typically ROTC will pay your full tuition and a small monthly stipend through school at 1,000 or so schools. Some of the branches cover room and board at some colleges too. In exchange, you must serve in the military over the college summers and for a few years. It varies, but 4 years is typical. You also enter the military as an officer. It’s important to note that the military offers this program for medical school as well. The GI bill is used after service when looking to return to school. The benefits are impressive. Generally, if you serve 3 years and have a normal honorable discharge, you typically qualify for these benefits:

• Up to 100% paid tuition (in state), or up to about $21,000 per year at a private school.

• A monthly housing stipend – equal to the military Basic Housing Allowance, which seems to be a minimum of $800 per month, and possibly quite a bit more.

• $1,000 a year for books and supplies.

I bring these military benefits up because they are so impressively good, and so many people could qualify. Next time, we will talk about other scholarships, namely Academic, Athletic, Workplace, and Community and Specialty scholarships.

Respectfully,

Patrick Stoa

Financial Advisor.

patrick@maccofinancial.com

The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. Opinions expressed are those of Patrick Stoa and are not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James. All opinions are as of this date and are subject to change without notice.

Protect your Loved Ones with Legal Planning

We work with clients through all stages of life and through multiple generations. From going to college, paying off debt, getting married, saving for a house and of course, planning for retirement. And while accomplishing these important financial and life goals is critical, it can all go up in smoke in an instant if you haven’t planned properly. Premature death, disability, and an inability to handle one’s own affairs can leave you and your loved ones in a difficult position. Luckily, there are some simple things you can do to plan for the unforeseen and protect your loved ones and your financial legacy.

Before we begin, it’s helpful to acknowledge the fact that we will all die. And because we are living longer that we once did, it’s also helpful to acknowledge that there is a good chance we will become incapacitated and unable to handle our own affairs. I know this is probably not a pleasant thought. But forcing ourselves to think about these things with objectivity helps change in our mind not IF these things will happen, but when. And that helps us think about the things that we or a loved one would have to take care of in their or our absence.

So what are the things that would need to be taken care of? Yes, there are the bank accounts, investment accounts and insurance policies. But there are also houses, titled vehicles and equity in privately held businesses. There are also medical decisions, deathbed decisions and final wishes that you may want to codify now while you are still able to. So how do you do all of that?

The first and easiest thing to do is to visit the institutions where you have accounts. First, make sure they are titled properly. If you are married, make sure they are in joint ownership and that all names are current. If you have retirement accounts and/or life insurance policies, make sure the beneficiaries are correct. And take that a step further and specify a contingent beneficiary, someone who would take the place of the primary beneficiary if that need arose. Contingents are commonly children or a trust if you’ve done that planning. If you have an account that you want someone to be able to help you with, consider signing a Limited Trading Authorization. Unless that person is a spouse, do not list them as a joint owner. This can trigger gift taxes and could subject your accounts to legal action if that person defaulted on her/his own obligations, and could trigger penalties for Medicaid eligibility. Finally, if you have an account that is not an IRA, Roth IRA or Trust, many institutions have what they call a Transfer/Payable on Death (TOD/POD) option which functions much like a beneficiary designation in that it determines where those proceeds go once the owner(s) passes away. All of these things can be done without an attorney and for little or no cost at all.

Even if you’ve done some of the planning discussed above, there are still circumstances that necessitate more formal legal planning and consultation with a trusted estate planning attorney. If you are still living but want someone to be able to make decisions on your behalf, consider a Durable Power of Attorney (POA). A POA is a document that specifies a person – the attorney in fact – to make certain financial and other decisions on your behalf. This document becomes active once you become incapacitated, or allows the attorney in fact to function while you are in full health. A basic POA document ceases upon incapacitation but a DURABLE POA document persists through incapacitation. Make sure yours is drafted in such a way to fit your objectives. Lastly, all POAs cease upon death.

In addition to a POA, you may want a Healthcare POA. This is a document that allows a person to make medical decisions when you are not able. Say, whether to perform a surgery while you are unconscious. A Living Will is similar to a Healthcare POA in that it deals with medical treatment but is exclusive to deathbed concerns.

Once we die, there are typically two documents that will determine what happens. A will and a trust. A will is a document that tells a court what you want done with anything left in your estate after you pass away. In the state of Wisconsin, it also allows you to nominate a guardian for any minor children. If you have minor children, get a will right away. There are a couple considerations regarding a will. It is still subject to probate and as such, is a public document. This means that executing your will could take months and will be a public process. Some of which can be avoided by using a trust. Secondly, any beneficiary designations or TOD/POD on any accounts takes precedence over a will. Make sure those documents are either in agreement or that you approve of any discontinuity between them. Finally, a will is a good tool for telling the assets where to go but not usually for exercising persistent control over an asset.

A trust can be helpful in a number of circumstances. As stated above, if you wish to exercise control over an asset for any length of time after your death, a trust is a must. You can set distribution restrictions, requirements for distribution, and much more. Further, trusts are private documents and are not subject to probate. This means that a Trustee or Successor Trustee can begin acting on the trust and carrying out your wishes within days after your passing. In addition to determining how you want your trust to function, it is also wise to thoughtfully consider who you want to administer the trust in your absence. This is commonly a surviving family member. And while this can sometimes work, we often find that family members do not know their obligations in serving as a trustee which can subject them to legal action by the beneficiaries. To mitigate this, we will sometimes recommend a trust company to serve as a corporate trustee. A corporate trustee has the expertise to administer your trust and can also be a disinterested 3rd party which can help family dynamics in difficult times.

While the items here can be daunting, I hope you can see they are of the utmost importance. When my wife and I went through this process in 2012 with our attorney, it took longer than I anticipated. But when we were done, I felt much peace knowing that my family would be in good shape should something bad happen. Make this your 2-month goal; you’ll be glad you did.
Regards
-Michael Macco, Financial Advisor

"Any opinions are those of Michael Macco and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete.
Raymond James does not offer legal advice. You should discuss any legal matters with the appropriate professional."

Choosing the Right Investment Manager for Your Needs

Would you like to know how investment managers are selected for your portfolio?  It certainly is not a case of “we like this guy,” or “who has the best return.”  There is a very clear and defined due diligence process.  But because our team of advisors recognizes that this may not be visible for you, it seemed valuable to share more about it.

Nick Lacy is the Chief Portfolio Strategist for Asset Management Services within Raymond James.   Nick took the time to articulate what goes into making investment manager selections.  Check out the video, or read more in the blog.

Investment manager selection is step 3 in our 4-Step Investment Process.  For a bit of review, step 1 is Forward Looking Capital Market Assumptions based on economic data and indicators.  Step 2 is optimizing asset allocation to maximize return potential at various risk levels.  For more on the 4 Step process, go to the RJ Freedom Investment Approach page, and click on “The 4-Step Investment Process” tab.

Now back to step 3:  manager selection.  This is where our advisors want to add top quality managers for each of the appropriate asset classes in the portfolio.  By its nature, our due diligence team takes their time, perhaps a year or more, in order to determine if a manager is a fit.  We want to understand, how has this manager generated good returns in the past, and can they repeat it in the future?  Did they hit a few lucky home runs?  Or are they consistent, with a well-designed and consistently executed investment strategy? 

In order to determine if a manager is actually consistent, Nick Lacy’s team will ask the manager for 100% of their trading history over the last 5 years, and evaluate every trade.  By going into such intense detail, the team can determine what is making the manager successful, and understand what economic environments the manager will perform well or poorly in, going forward.  Take note, even great investment managers may not look smart every year, since their process can come in and out of favor compared to the market from time to time.  Nick mentions Small-Cap Managers (which are tasked with investing in smaller, lesser known companies), who had a few very poor years, compared to other asset classes.  Yet they were doing quite well in early 2016, as Small-Cap investing came back into style, so to speak.

So, when would Nick’s team fire a manager from your portfolios?   Normally personnel changes are the catalyst.  Because we have done the due diligence, Nick’s team knows who the contributors are on the investment manager’s team.  If several of them are exiting, or the leadership is changing, that is a sign to us that things may not continue as we expect.  Recently, we made a major change away from a well-known Fixed Income investment manager for just this reason.  We don’t want the risk of an unknown team making decisions on your money.

Thank you to Nick and his team for all their time and effort to add a robust process to your investments.  If you wish to discuss Investments, feel free to call our office at 920-617-6830.

Respectfully,

Patrick Stoa
Financial Advisor.
patrick@maccofinancial.com

Any opinions are those of Nick Lacy, Mike Macco and Patrick Stoa and not necessarily those of Raymond James. Expressions of opinion are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Keep in mind that there is no assurance that any strategy will ultimately be successful or profitable nor protect against a loss.

Planning for the Future Needs to Include Insurance

Let’s be frank; no one likes to pay for insurance. It’s one of those things we do because we’re “responsible adults”. But in many cases we’re paying to protect ourselves against something that isn’t likely to happen. Most people don’t totally destroy their cars. Most houses don’t burn down. But when those things do happen, they can have catastrophic financial effects on those who are ill-prepared. While this is true for things like houses and cars, it’s also true when it comes to planning your financial future. Let’s take a quick dive into three areas we think are critically important to address when thinking about your financial plan.

Life Insurance
While it’s true we are all going to die someday, that doesn’t necessarily mean we will always need life insurance. Think about it. What is the financial risk associated with death? For me, that’s the money I’m supposed to save during my working career for retirement. Or the income I was supposed to make. Or the debt I was supposed to pay off. But like many, I’m hoping to retire at, say, 65. And my plan is to have all of those needs met by then. Therefore, contrary to what many life insurance salesmen would have you believe (you know who you are) in my opinion most people don’t need permanent life insurance (whole, variable, universal, etc.) and are best served by a term policy that coincides roughly with retirement. And that’s good for you. Because term insurance is almost always the cheaper way to go. For me, that’s a 30 year term policy.

So how much should you get? My formula is simple. First figure out what you want to accomplish in the case of your untimely demise. For me, I’d want to leave my wife with a paid-off house, a new van (she loves her Sienna), some money in a college fund for our kids and a reasonable stream of income. Then do the math. Add up the one-time expenses that would need to be paid off first. $200k for a house, $30k for the van (plus trade-ins), and $35k in two 529 college funds. So that’s $300k. Then determine what kind of income your family would need once those debts are gone. Say that’s $50k per year. Take that number and divide it by 5% ($50k/.05 = $1,000,000). And then add those numbers up. So if I had a $1.3MM 30yr term policy and I died before retirement, Beth could take that money, pay off our debt, buy a new car, invest $1MM in a decent portfolio and draw 5% for the rest of her life¹.

Disability Insurance
But what if I don’t die? What if I’m just in a bad car accident and I become disabled and can’t work anymore? Now my family is without my income and I’m probably also a financial burden on them. Enter disability insurance. There are actually two kinds of disability insurance. Short-term and long-term. Because we’re big advocates of having cash emergency funds, we don’t usually recommend the short-term variety. Long-term disability is highly customizable so you should definitely go through an agent to make sure you’re buying a policy that functions as you would expect it to if you should ever need it. It typically would kick in after 90 days of disability (elimination period) and if you pay the premiums with after-tax dollars, the income stream is tax-free! And you want to make sure it isn’t structured in such a way where if you can flip burgers, it won’t pay. Moral of the story: if you’re the primary wage earner and your family would be ruined without your salary, call us and consider getting a disability policy in place.

Long-term Care Insurance
According to the US Department of Health and Human Services, about 70% of people turning age 65 can expect to use some form of long-term care². And as we live longer, those numbers are growing. And it’s expensive, costing anywhere from $6,000 to over $10,000 per month³! So being in a nursing home for 2-3 years can cost you hundreds of thousands of dollars. In many cases, this is orders of magnitude more expensive than buying some kind of long-term care insurance (LTCI). But what kind?

Traditionally, LTCI is purchased on an individual basis and much like auto or home insurance. You pay premiums every month (for LTCI, often until you die) and if you never use it, you lose it. For the most part, people seem to be ok with this when it comes to home and auto insurance. But when it comes to LTCI, that’s often looked at as a waste of money. Ironic, since the financial risks of nursing care are undoubtedly higher than replacing a car or maybe even a house. But if you’re in that camp, consider either “pooled coverage” or asset-based LTCI. 

Pooled coverage can be purchased by a couple with the coverage shared between them both. Since the likelihood of both spouses needing long-term care is not high (typically the healthy spouse takes care of the non-healthy spouse), it may be ok to purchase a slightly lower amount in aggregate (say 6 years in total coverage) than if that same couple had purchased individual policies (2 x 4 years = 8 years in total coverage). This can help keep the premiums down.

Asset-based long-term care is a kind of hybrid long-term care/life insurance product. These policies can have a cash value or death benefit that pays out if the policy owner never needs to pay for long-term care expenses. And while this sounds like a nice way to avoid potentially wasting money, the premiums are often quite high and cost-prohibitive. Making this primarily a product for those of high-net worth.

Like disability insurance, long-term care insurance can be highly customized with many optional features (riders) that can make the policy more powerful but also more expensive. For instance, considering the ever-increasing costs of medical care, it probably makes sense to have an inflation rider on your policy. If you’re interested in discussing the details of your situation and how to construct an LTCI policy for you, please give us a call (920) 617-6830.

Work Benefits
So what do you do if your work offers these types of benefits? Consider the following. First of all, they’re often group policies which means the costs are based on your group, not you as an individual. They are sometimes more expensive than if you would try to get coverage on your own. And what if your company decides to get rid of those benefits? There goes your risk management plan! If you don’t plan to work there for your whole life, or those policies aren’t portable (can’t take them with you when you leave), then don’t count on them. Consider getting your own insurance. Of course, if you aren’t insurable, group coverage is probably your only choice.

As you can see, insurance planning is a big part of financial planning. Doing it incorrectly or ignoring it completely can really harm you and your family. It can be the difference between living in wealth or languishing in poverty in the most extreme circumstances. This is why we’ve included insurance planning in our practice. If you or someone you know needs help in this area, don’t wait any longer. Call us today.

-Mike Macco, Financial Advisor

¹This is a hypothetical illustration and is not intended to reflect the actual performance of any particular product. Individual results will vary.
²http://longtermcare.gov/the-basics/who-needs-care/
³http://longtermcare.gov/costs-how-to-pay/costs-of-care/

Opinions expressed are those of Michael Macco and are not necessarily those of Raymond James. All opinions are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. Investing involves risk, investors may incur a profit or a loss. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do no guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Long Term Care insurance policies have exclusions and/or limitations. The cost and availability of Long Term Care insurance depends on factors such as age, health, and the type and amount of insurance purchased. As with most financial decisions, there are expenses associated with the purchase of Long Term Care insurance. Guarantees are based on the claims paying ability of the insurance company. The cost and availability of life insurance depend on factors such as age, health and the type and amount of insurance purchased. As with most financial decisions, there are expenses associated with the purchase of life insurance. Policies commonly have mortality and expense charges. In addition if a policy is surrendered prematurely, there may be surrender charges and income tax implications.

Your Advisors improving for you

Last week, Mike and I were at the 2016 Raymond James National Conference for Professional Development.  It was a very enriching week with literally hundreds of courses available for us to attend and a tremendous variety of topics.  We picked the courses to attend with you in mind.  We thought you might want to hear a bit about some of these.  If so, keep reading!

The courses we took really fell into four categories:  1) Client Service Enhancements, 2) Technical Knowledge, 3) Political/Regulatory/Economic Forecasts, and 4) Personal/Business Development. 

Let’s start with Client Service Enhancements, as that’s really the most directly observed by and most important to you.  First of all, over the month of May, we will be rolling out The Vault.  The Vault is secure document storage, available at no charge as an add-on to your Investor Access login.  It is safe and secure.  You can create, arrange, and share your folders however you see fit.  For example, you could create a folder for tax documents and allow your tax preparer access to that folder.   If you aren’t already using Investor Access, please sign up now; Investor Access.  In addition to secure document storage and access to your account information, you can also play with your financial plan.  Some clients even use it for online banking and bill payment services.  Call us; we are happy to help you use it to your advantage.

I think it is important here to mention the Raymond James Security Promise; “We will reimburse you for actual losses in any of your Raymond James accounts due to unauthorized access to a Raymond James system that occurs through no fault of your own.”1As far as I know, we are the only firm offering such a direct promise.

Next, remote check deposit via mobile app will be coming out towards the end of 2016.  You will be able to take a picture of a check, and it will then be deposited to your account directly from your phone.

I can say that both Mike and I are never satisfied.  We carried the conversation over to the head experts as to what else we want next for our clients.  Thankfully, several of the things are “on the roadmap” for development.

Now on to Technical Knowledge.  There were multiple sessions on working with people with diminished capacity, such as Alzheimer’s and Special Needs.   Both of these topics are incredibly important and complicated, each worthy of much longer discussion.  You will see more information on our website, about these issues, in the future.

Next we have Political/Regulatory/Economic changes.  A fantastic session was put on by Jeff Saut, our MD Chief Investment Strategist; Investment Strategy.  He had a lot to say, but it really boiled down to this:  Our economy is strong, and he sees no major systematic problems to indicate that we are headed for any trouble.  

We had a wonderful presentation from Andy Friedman; about Andy Friedman.  He generally felt that Hillary will win the presidential election, and Democrats are likely to take the Senate while Republicans are likely to keep the House. 

Meanwhile, the largest regulatory change to financial advice, having just come about and taking effect over the next year, is the Department of Labor (affectionately known as “DOL”) Fiduciary Rule.  Generally, the intention of the rule is that all financial advisors must act in the best interest of their clients on retirement accounts.  Who can argue with that?  We think this is fantastic.  Of course, that is not the end of the story as the rule is over 1,000 pages long.  The nuances and details are likely to have some unintended negative consequences.  Those nuances and negative consequences are still being reviewed by the professionals at Raymond James to determine how to minimize them.  Again, however, the intent of the new regulation is right in line with our view that the client’s best interests should always be first.

In the realm of Personal, Professional and Business Development, both Mike and I attended a few sessions on better prioritization, productivity, focus, and execution.  These sessions mostly reinforced concepts that we already knew.  The sessions provided a well-timed reminder of some things we should and will be doing, both for your success and ours.  You may notice incremental positive changes over the next few months as we implement specific changes.

If you want to discuss any of the things we have learned on your behalf, please reach out to us anytime.

In service to you,

Patrick Stoa
Financial Advisor
920-617-6830

Opinions expressed are those of Patrick Stoa and are not necessarily those of Raymond James. All opinions are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. Investing involves risk, investors may incur a profit or a loss. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation.

1Raymond James brochure:  “Keeping Your Account and Personal Information Secure,” 2015.

Investing is like...Toothpaste.

They say, “More choices are better.”   I am not so sure.  Recently I went to the grocery store to buy toothpaste.  Instead of a handful of decent choices, I was assaulted by 122 choices (yes, I counted).

How should I choose between having “Deep Cleaning,” “Optic Whitening,” “Anti-Plaque,” and so many other important sounding features.  The selection was overwhelming, and I felt like I knew less about toothpaste than ever.  Isn’t that silly?  So how does this relate to investments?

Watch our video or read below to find out.

First, did you ever stop using toothpaste due to the confusing choices?  Of course not.  Like toothpaste, there is an enormous selection of investment possibilities.  I have seen some people avoid making a decision about what to invest in due to being so overwhelmed.  Sadly, the indecision normally means that money is not invested at all, which works about as well as not using toothpaste.

In the beginning, thankfully, most of us didn’t start out “choosing” a toothpaste.  Our parents provided it, and we faithfully stuck it in our mouths.  The key was to be brushing with any standard toothpaste to get started early and form the habit.  As kids, we weren’t actually good at brushing.  But by doing it every day, we got better.  And by the time we were adults, it became an automatic habit. 

Unfortunately, while most parents indoctrinate their kids into brushing their teeth, few pass along the investment habit.  If only they did.  The key is the same as brushing: start early, and make it a habit.  Don’t let the overwhelming array of investment choices stop you.  It is probably best to start with something rather plain anyway.  Make the choice to invest.  Just start now, and make it a habit.  Or better yet, make it automatic.

We are here to help you make it happen.

Cheerfully,

Patrick Stoa
Financial Advisor
920-617-6830

Opinions expressed are those of Patrick Stoa and are not necessarily those of Raymond James. All opinions are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. Investing involves risk, investors may incur a profit or a loss. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation.

Two-Step Sign-on: The Remedy for Weak Passwords

Most people know that in order to have a secure online presence, you must have a strong password. By “strong”, we mean that it should be long, complex (letters, number & special characters) and unique (not the same password on every website). But this can be tough to do. And the problem with a password - whether strong or not - is that once it’s known, it can be used from anywhere. So in addition to a password, or in the absence of a strong password, there is something you should do to protect your online accounts.

Two-step sign-on is a feature that requires a special one-time use code, in addition to your username and password, in order to log on to a website. This code is typically sent via text message to your mobile phone. But it can also be sent via email, phone call, or even generated by an app on your smartphone. This means that even if a hacker has your username and password, they probably won’t have your cell phone and, consequently, won’t be able to log into your account.

Many of the websites you use every day offer this service for free! But in most cases, it’s an optional feature that you have to enable. I’ve posted informational links to some of the most popular websites below. If you’re not sure if a website you use offers two-step sign-on, visit www.twofactorauth.org to find out. Turn it on and rest easy.

-Mike Macco, Financial Advisor

Google Instructional Video, Google, Yahoo, Microsoft, Dropbox, Box.com, Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, Snapchat

Links are being provided for information purposes only. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize or sponsor any of the listed websites or their respective sponsors. Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any website or the collection or use of information regarding any website's users and/or members. The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. Any opinions are those of Mike Macco and not necessarily those of Raymond James.

Are you financing your past or saving for your future?

According to a 2010 National Institute on Retirement Security, the median retirement account balance for Americans aged 55-64 is…wait for it…drumroll please………….. $12,000¹. Cue the depressing music. Sad as it may be to quantify this, I’m sure the fact comes as little surprise to many. But why is this? Can some not afford it? Sure. But for many, they just cease to make it a priority. We simply choose to spend our money on other, more immediate things. If that’s you, you may want to check out our recent post & video on cash-flow management. But I think there’s a much larger elephant in the room. Debt.

In researching for this post, I found no shortage of data on debt. Pretty much everyone agrees we (read “Americans”) have a debt problem. As of Q4 2015, the average American debt-carrying household has $15,762 in credit card debt, $27,141 in auto loans, $48,172 in student loans and a $168,614 mortgage.² With so much debt and the payments that go along with it, it’s no wonder people can’t save for retirement. But we are not without hope! Having counseled hundreds of people through this very issue, I know that a little focus and discipline can go a long way. Let’s do this.

The first thing you need to do if you’re under a pile of debt is to get out from under it. In order to do that, you need to know what you spend and how much money you can commit to accelerating your debt payments. If you need help with that, refer to the link above on cash-flow management. Once you know how much extra money you can throw at your debt. It’s time for the debt snowball! So what’s this debt snowball? I’m glad you asked!

The debt snowball is the process of paying off your debts from smallest to largest. When you pay off one debt, you roll that payment into the next debt and so on and so forth and keep going until you’ve paid off all of your non-mortgage debt. So why do we start with the smallest debt and not the one with the highest interest rate? Because we’re humans and we need little victories. It takes people 18 to 36 months to get through this process. If we don’t see immediate fruits to our labor, many of us will give up. Would you save a little interest if you did it the other way? Maybe. But let’s be honest. If we were such disciplined mathematicians, we wouldn’t be in the situation in the first place would we?

Now if you’ve gone through the hard work of paying off all of your non-mortgage debt, I’m sure you don’t want to all back into it. First up, build a decent emergency fund. I’d say at least $10k. This is your insurance policy and serves to protect you from that unexpected set of tires, transmission, and trips to urgent care. DON’T SKIP THIS STEP! If you start saving for retirement before you have this in place, you’ll be taking a premature distribution at the first sign of trouble. But do it right and you’ll be saving money like a champ and on target for a prosperous retirement.

-Mike Macco

¹http://www.nirsonline.org/index.php?option=content&task=view&id=768

²https://www.nerdwallet.com/blog/credit-card-data/average-credit-card-debt-household/

The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. Any opinions are those of Michael Macco and Patrick Stoa and not necessarily those of Raymond James. Links are being provided for information purposes only. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize or sponsor any of the listed websites or their respective sponsors. Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any website or the collection or use of information regarding any website's users and/or members.

How to turn your tax refund into $300,000

In the United States, the average federal tax refund is about $3,000.¹ Simply put, this means that the average American tax filer pays the U.S. government about $250 per month too much and then gets their own money back in one chunk in the spring. That brings up three questions:

1.       Should they be giving the government an interest free loan? 
2.       What should they do with this money?
3.       Seriously… $300,000… How do I get that?
To find out, watch the video or read the text below.

The first question is obvious. Let’s simply be clear that we should not be giving the government an interest-free loan for $3,000 each year.
As to the second question, what people say they want to do is not bad. According to a variety of online polls, about a third of Americans say they will pay down debt, and a third will use it to invest.^2,3,4,5

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Click to enlarge image

Unfortunately, although people generally have good intentions, they must not be following through in a disciplined way over the long term.  If two-thirds of the people were actually paying down debt and investing their tax returns on a regular basis, more Americans would be better prepared for their retirement.  Reality would not look like this:

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The short story from these graphs?  More than 60% of the households, age 55-64, have less than $50,000 in retirement savings, with the median net worth of households, 55 and older, being $34,760.  Don’t let that be you.

Now to the third question.  The one you want to know.  How do you get $300,000?  Thankfully, it is mostly math and discipline.

If a person were to get an average refund of $3,000 per year and they were to simply invest that money, $250 every month for 30 years at 7% return, they would have $306,772. (Future growth and investment performance are not guaranteed; see additional disclaimers below.⁶).

Now you see why I say that people must not be following through with their intentions. The math works, in good weather and bad. It’s discipline that must be breaking down. If two-thirds of the population were actually paying down debt, saving, and investing, we would not have so many people arriving at retirement age with so little. Although $300,000 is probably not enough for a prosperous retirement, it sure would be better than the retirement crisis that is the reality for a large portion of the population.

As to how you can use this information, take a look at the chart below. (Note that inflation and taxes are not considered here.) It shows you what $250 per month will do in various time-frames and various returns.

Besides highlighting the value of starting early, this chart can be used as a quick reference to determine the possible results of your savings efforts.  If you are saving $1,000 per month, for example, your results would be four times as large as saving $250 per month.

If you want to do a more comprehensive in-depth analysis of your savings requirements, taking into account taxes, inflation, Social Security, and numerous other factors, feel free to reach out to me.  I am happy to help.

To a prosperous retirement,

Patrick Stoa
Financial Advisor
920-617-6830
patrick@maccofinancial.com

1.  https://www.irs.gov/uac/Newsroom/Filing-Season-Statistics-for-Week-Ending-March-11-2016
2.  http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2015/03/12/how-to-use-income-tax-return/70152934/
3.  http://www.bankrate.com/finance/taxes/how-americans-will-spend-their-tax-refund-1.aspx
4.  http://newsroom.hrblock.com/people-spending-tax-refunds
5.   http://www.cnbc.com/2014/02/28/save-vs-splurge-what-we-really-do-with-tax-refunds.html
6. This case study is for illustrative purposes only; it is not a representation of any individual person or situation. The investment return figures represented are not intended to reflect the actual performance of any particular security. Individual cases will vary. Investment yields will fluctuate with market conditions. This information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Prior to making any investment decision, you should consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation.

The information does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material, it has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Opinions expressed are those of the author and are not necessarily those of Raymond James. All opinions are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. Links are being provided for information purposes only. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize or sponsor any of the listed websites or their respective sponsors. Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any website or the collection or use of information regarding any website's users and/or members.

Is your house sabotaging your retirement?

Is your house sabotaging your retirement?  This is not the question I was seeking to answer when we first discussed this topic.  I had in mind some rather dull lecturing version of “don’t buy lattes,” and “don’t go out for lunch every day.”  I felt like I was Jack.  You know Jack right?  All work and no play.  But then we got to an interesting set of data.

I find it fascinating that housing costs per square foot are about the same as they were in 1973 (adjusted for inflation of course).  Yet new homes are about 60% bigger and have less people in them. Think about that for a minute.

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Figure 1 - Median cost of new homes, people per household & square feet per person from 1973 - 2013.

The blue line is the median square footage per new home.  As you can see, it has grown from about 1,500 square feet in 1973, to almost 2,500 in 2013.  The red line is the number of occupants per household and has fallen from around 3 to almost 2.5 over the same time period.  The net effect is a near doubling of square footage per person, from 500 to almost 1,000 square feet per person.

Now, if you are knocking down a fantastic income and can afford it, that’s great!  Go right ahead and build that mansion.  We would love it if everyone was prosperous and could easily afford large homes.  Yet the average American has far too little saved for retirement.  Could there be a correlation?  

The median price for new homes has ranged from $250,000 to $300,000 for the last few years.¹ This number is highly dependent on your location. However, consider that if you were to buy a home for $100,000 less, and have a correspondingly lower mortgage, your payment at current interest rates would be about $475 less.² That’s just for the mortgage. You are also likely to have smaller payments for your property taxes, insurance, heat, electric, and less expense for repairs to the roof and carpet over the years. It is certainly possible that you could free up $700 per month or more.

Let’s say that you decide to do this and free up the $700 per month, some of which you spend. Let’s also say, however, that you put away $500 of that. If you did that for 30 years earning 7%, you would have $613,545. (Future growth and investment performance are not guaranteed; see additional disclaimers below.³)

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Source: "The Importance of Being Earnest", J.P. Morgan Asset Management, 2013.

All this to say – if you have too much house, you might be sabotaging your retirement. Remember, you can control some things, and some things you cannot.  How much you spend and save is more within your control than you might think, but only if you choose to make it within your control.

If you want to have a coffee and debate about how big or small your house should be, give me a call at 920-617-6830.

Patrick Stoa

---

1. Source of median and average price of new homes: https://www.census.gov/construction/nrs/pdf/uspricemon.pdf
2. The calculation of the mortgage savings was determined using a 30 year, 4% fixed rate mortgage. The monthly payment on a $220,000 mortgage would be $1,050.31, while a $120,000 mortgage would be $572.90, respectively. $1050.31 - $572.90 is a savings of $477.41.
3. This case study is for illustrative purposes only; it is not a representation of any individual person or situation. The investment return figures represented are not intended to reflect the actual performance of any particular security. Individual cases will vary. Investment yields will fluctuate with market conditions. This information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Prior to making any investment decision, you should consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation.

Housing and household data from the US Census Bureau. 

The information does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material, it has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Opinions expressed are those of the author and are not necessarily those of Raymond James. All opinions are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. Links are being provided for information purposes only. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize or sponsor any of the listed websites or their respective sponsors. Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any website or the collection or use of information regarding any website's users and/or members.

Want a prosperous retirement? Start with this.

How much money do you need for retirement? How much should you save each month to reach that goal? Can you afford that? What lifestyle can you afford if you save less than that? There is only one way to answer those questions. You must know what it takes to live your life now. If you know how much money you need to spend on a monthly basis now, you can work off of that number to determine how much you’ll need per month in retirement. Let me explain. (Warning: a little nerdy math ahead. Stick with it!)

If you think you need $50,000 per year that’s got to come from somewhere. Let’s say you have $18,000/year in social security. So you need to make up a difference of $32,000/year out of your own investments. So how much do you have to have invested to produce that stream of income for 30-40 years of retirement? Of course, that depends on how it’s invested. But generally speaking, we encourage our clients to withdraw only 4-6% of their investments per year. Hopefully growth will replace those withdrawals and over time, your money will last and you’ll be able to leave an inheritance. Withdraw more than that, and not only might you not leave an inheritance, you might run out of money prematurely! So if you wanted to keep your withdrawal rate at say, 5%, you’d need to have $640,000 invested somewhere. ($640,000 *.05 = $32,000). Make sense? But what if you only need $40k per year? Then you’d only need to have $440,000! (($40k-18k)/.05.) And there it is. The power of cash flow management. So how do you do it? It doesn’t have to be like pulling teeth!

At the most basic level, all we need is a monthly number. If you’re like my mother-in-law, (Love you Deb!) you can simply write it all down in a spiral notebook. Or if you use your debit/credit card for everything, just look at a statement. Of course, if you want to get a little nerdier, you can use excel. Or if you want to get REALLY nerdy (Like me. I’m a budgeting junkie.), you can use both excel (My budgeting workbook. Check this out!) and some finance software like Quicken! I’ve also heard good things about YNAB.com (you’re welcome, Alaina) and Mint.com, which is “free” but ad-supported. But no matter what you use, try to record it all. Cash, debit, credit, automatic bill payments, ACH withdrawals, charitable contributions and even salary deferrals. Everything. At this point, you’re probably pretty close to the real answer. Take a victory lap! You’ve done more than most people. You could stop there and be able to do some legitimate long-term planning. But you’ve come so far and you’re nearly done.

Now, when I taught Dave Ramsey’s Financial Peace University class (yes, I’m one of those people), I got in the habit of not only accounting for my monthly spending, but also quarterly spending (Water bill, anyone?), and what I call “eventual spending”. These are expenses that I know I’ll have but I’m not exactly sure when. Like birthday and Christmas gifts, furniture replacement, vacations, home maintenance, car replacement/repair, etc. I just sweep a certain amount into savings each month and let it build up for those eventual expenses. Yes, it’s a lot. But it’s part of your cost of living and you’ll probably spend it in retirement so it needs to be quantified.

Sigh! That’s it. Well, step one. But it’s a huge step. And one that puts you in the driver’s seat. Armed with that budget, a financial advisor like ME is much more able to help YOU figure out what you need and how to get you there. Well done!

-Mike Macco

The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete, it is not a statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision, and it does not constitute a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Mike Macco, and not necessarily those of Raymond James. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected.  The hypothetical investment return figures represented are not intended to reflect the actual performance of any particular security or portfolio. Individual investor's results will vary. Raymond James is not affiliated with and does not endorse Dave Ramsey.

Rebalancing

Imagine a situation where you were at the playground on the seesaw with your older brother.  It works well at first.  Then winter comes. The next spring you hop on the seesaw again, but it doesn’t work anymore.  Your brother grew faster, and now the seesaw is out of balance.  He gets on, you fly up on your side, and you’re stuck with your legs dangling in the air, suspended until he lets you down.  Your seesaw is out of balance.  You need to rebalance to make it work the right way again.

In the video, we talk about rebalancing your investment portfolio.  Rebalancing is simply one form of investment discipline.  Rebalancing implies that something is out of balance, and needs to be returned to its original state.  It might go something like this:  We meet with a client and discuss their hopes, fears, dreams, and resources.  We agree on an appropriate mix of assets to address their situation.  We initiate investments to match that asset allocation.  Over time, some assets perform better than expected, some about as expected, and some worse than expected.  As those realities take place, the asset allocation drifts away from the agreed upon allocation.

Rebalancing is the function of bringing that portfolio back to the originally agreed upon asset mix.  This does two things for the client.  First, it brings the desired risk/return profile back to where it was intended to be.  Second, it adds a discipline to selling off some assets that have risen faster than expected and purchasing assets that have not done so well in order to restore the balance.  In simple terms, rebalancing effectively forces the portfolio to sell high priced assets and buy low priced assets. 

Of course, there is an issue of frequency.  How often should rebalancing take place?  In our opinion, it should not be daily, weekly, or monthly.  That is generally too short a time-frame for any truly significant shifts to have occurred between asset classes. 

Thanks for reading and watching.

Patrick Stoa

For questions, comments, and conversation, call us at 920-617-6830. 

The discussion contained in this video is a hypothetical illustration and is not intended to reflect the actual performance of any particular security.  Future performance cannot be guaranteed and investment yields will fluctuate with market conditions.  Every investor’s situation is unique and you should consider your investment goals, risk tolerance and time horizon before making any investment.  Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected.  Re-balancing a non-retirement account could be a taxable event that may increase your tax liability.

Types of Risk

Many investors view the stock market as risky, because they may lose money.  In our eyes, it is worthwhile to have some awareness of the various types of investment risk.  In our video, we share several sources of investment risk that you may not have fully considered.  Below, we talk in more detail about those risks.

First, let’s simply list a few of the investment risks, and we will dive deeper into a few of them to illustrate the point.  Here is a list of well-known risks:

•    Market Risk (also known as Systematic Risk)
•    Interest Rate Risk
•    Business Risk
•    Inflationary Risk
•    Liquidity Risk
•    Reinvestment Risk
•    Social/Political/Legislative Risk
•    Currency/Exchange Rate Risk
•    Call Risk and Credit Risk (specific to bonds)

Those are a lot of risks, but hopefully it is not overwhelming.  For example, in our last video we talked about diversification and asset allocation which, combined, can be used to mitigate (but not eliminate) several of the risks above, including Market Risk, Business Risk, Exchange Rate Risk, and even Social/Political/Legislative Risk.  

Today, I would like to point out Inflationary Risk, in particular.  An item costing $100 in 1985 would cost about $220 in 2015 due to inflation.  This is serious damage to your purchasing power and can make retirement a lot less enjoyable than you might want it to be.  In general, it is a good idea to have many of your investments at least keeping up with inflation.  Historically, stocks have done this while cash or near-cash investments have not.

Another current risk to be aware of is Interest Rate Risk.  Interest rates have been at historically low levels, and it is hard to imagine them doing anything other than going up.  As interest rates rise, the unfortunate result is that bonds go down in price.  We did not elaborate on the mechanism for this in the video, but we will do so here.  If a person owns a bond that is paying $50 per year on a $1,000 investment, that is a 5% return.  Now imagine that over a few years, the market interest rate has moved up to 10%, and the owner wishes to sell the bond.  Who will buy that bond at the full price of $1,000?  No one.  The new buyer wants to earn the current market rate.  Since the bond will continue to pay only $50, the way to achieve a current market rate is discount the price so that 10% is earned on the reduced price.  

The key takeaway from this is that there are many risks to consider.  Sometimes the risks are the ones that scream from the media headlines on a daily basis.  Just as often, risk can be silent but can significantly affect the value of your investments, nonetheless.

Patrick Stoa

For questions, comments, and conversation, call us at 920-617-6830  

The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete, it is not a statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision, and it does not constitute a recommendation. Any opinions are those of Mike Macco and Patrick Stoa and not necessarily those of Raymond James.

Diversification & Asset Allocation

If I were to ask you to take your life savings, drive to the casino, walk to the roulette wheel and put all of your money on black 17… would you do it? Probably not. But why? Because it’s risky. You’ve put all of your hope in that one thing. If it works, are you a genius? Umm…no. You were very lucky. Take your money and walk away. It’ll probably never happen again. The same is true for investing in stocks. Would you put all of your money in, say, Tesla? As desperately as I want a Model X and as much as I may like and respect Elon Musk - their founder and CEO, in case you were wondering - that would be foolish. In investment speak, that’s called a concentrated position. It’s the “black 17” of the investment world. And in my experience, most people understand that. So we take that risk and “diversify it away” by investing our hard-earned money into different stocks… say Microsoft, Apple, Wisconsin Energy, Ford… and the list goes on and on. So while the success of our investment strategy no longer rides on Elon Musk’s shoulders, we still have a problem. They’re all large (large cap) US Companies and they’re all stock. Different in some aspects, the same in others. Enter asset allocation.

If diversification is the process of having different kinds of similar things, then asset allocation is the process of having completely different things. Let’s unpack that. In the example above, we had lowered the risk of investing in only one company. Yet we were still left with the problem of having companies that were all still large and all located in the USA. That would be fine if those were always the best investments. But of course, there is no “always” in investing. Sometimes, medium-sized (mid cap) and small-sized (small cap) companies perform better. Sometimes, companies in growth mode (growth) or companies who have gone through difficulties (value) are better places to invest. Sometimes, companies in other developed countries (international) or companies in developing countries (emerging markets) offer better long-term investment opportunities. And let’s not forget about silver, oil, wheat and cotton (commodities) or apartments, office buildings and houses (real estate). And we haven’t even talked about bonds, which are essentially loans to federal, state and local governments, companies and even home owners. Each of these categories is a different “asset class”. They are all different and react differently to different economic conditions. 

So what is an investor to do? Well, if you like the idea of putting everything on black 17, have at it. I wouldn’t recommend that, and you probably wouldn’t be a good fit for our firm. But if you’re like most people, you probably understand the value of not taking excessive risk. Which means you’ll have a portfolio with some of everything in it. We would call that a “blended portfolio”. Domestic and international stock, commodities, real estate, alternatives, and probably some bonds if you’re trying to limit volatility. But do you have equal amounts of everything? Probably not. That’s where the art comes in. Most portfolios have a large percentage in US stocks because the US economy is the most stable (less uncertainty/risk). And most believe Europe, India and East Asia have decent growth opportunities, too, so another – typically smaller - chunk of their portfolios is invested there. Even China and Africa have some growth prospects, so a portfolio may even include a small percentage invested there. If you’re closer to or in retirement or if volatility makes you uncomfortable, you’ll probably shift some of those stock investments into bonds which are typically less volatile and considered safer than stocks. Add on smaller parts of commodities, real estate, alternatives, and you’ve got yourself a portfolio!

I’d be remiss if I didn’t bring this back home to the importance of working with professionals. As I hope is obvious from the process I just outlined, the concepts are relatively easy to grasp. But executing all of this is a whole different ballgame. What stocks and bonds should you buy? What percentage of each should you have in your portfolio? Are the investments you’ve chosen performing as they should? Should you cut your losses and sell or recommit and double down? And are they right for your situation? Good topics for another blog post.

Michael J. Macco

Tesla, Ford and Wisconsin Energy are not closely followed by Raymond James Research.  Raymond James makes a market in Apple and Microsoft.

Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against a loss.

Any opinions are those of Michael Macco and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Past performance may not be indicative of future results.

How to deal with market volatility

The start to 2016 has been marked by uncertainty in a number of areas. China, ISIS, Oil, etc. Not surprisingly, this uncertainty has caused plenty of fear and, consequently, volatility in global stock markets. Also not surprising are the familiar echoes from the “talking heads” on television and even some investors to “Get out!” or do something. Of course, there is no one-size-fits-all approach to investing or risk management. Every family’s situation is unique and calls for an equally unique approach. Indeed, with the typically short-term nature of these downturns, some investors likely ought to be buying, not selling.

So what does a person do when markets are volatile? Well one of the worst things a person could do is react emotionally and make a rash decision. Pause and ask yourself two questions: 1.) What is your investing time frame? 2.) How is your portfolio invested? If you’re 10 or more years from retirement and your portfolios are invested aggressively, that’s probably ok. Short-term volatility should not change a long-term investment strategy.

What if you’re closer to retirement or already retired? If you’re within 10 years of retiring, you probably should be lowering the risk in your portfolio already. Meaning moving some of your aggressive investments (often stock), toward less aggressive investments (often bonds). If that’s you, depending on your tolerance for risk, that probably means you have 50% - 75% of your total investments in stock. Because most people still need their investments to grow in retirement, that same logic applies; although the total percentage of stock may be in the slightly lower 40% -65% range. At Macco Financial Group, this is one of our guiding principles. And we work very hard to position our clients' portfolios for volatility so as not to expose them to excessive risk.

Finally, we recently hosted a conference call with Nicholas Lacy, Raymond James Asset Management Services’ (AMS) Chief Portfolio Strategist. Nick is greatly respected in the industry and shared some tremendous insight on AMS’ views of global markets, volatility, growth expectations and what they have done and are doing to position portfolios for the future. If you’d like to hear a replay of that call, it is embedded below. We will be proactively contacting clients. And we invite you or anyone else concerned about the markets to call our office at 888-617-6830.

Respectfully,
Michael J. Macco
President, Macco Financial Group
Investment Management Consultant

"Any opinions are those of Michael Macco and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Past performance may not be indicative of future results."

New Year's Resolution

It’s nearing the end of January.  Earlier this month, we put out a video about a financial New Year’s resolution.  This topic is important enough that we felt it should be our first blog post ever.

So, if you want to skip the rest – here it is:  In our opinion, you should increase the amount you are automatically investing right now.  Don’t think about it.  Don’t resolve to do it at a future time.  Just do it now.

This thought comes from a simple place.  Some of the people we see may be headed towards disappointment and all seem to have one thing in common.  They have not set enough aside for their future.

On the other hand, if I were to make a generalization about the people who have bright financial futures ahead of them:  they are prodigious savers and investors.  For the most part, they have set up their wealth accumulation plan to be automatic, via either large 401(k) contributions, large contributions into other investment accounts, or, in many cases, both. 

The fact that the accumulation is automatic is important.  If you have to remember to write a check every now and then, it probably won’t happen.  Compare that to the one-time effort to increase your 401(k) contributions by 1% or 2%, or the time it takes to set up or increase the automatic draft into an investment account.  It’s one and done, and then it actually happens.

Beyond actually happening, let’s talk about a couple of finer points.  First of all, if you have an Employee Retirement account such as a 401(k), and there is an employer match, be sure to contribute enough to earn all potential matching dollars.  That is free money.  Don’t let it slip away.

Next, what I have observed is that most people can almost always invest more than they are right now.  I challenge you to increase your automatic investment right now.  Even if the change is only $50 or $100 per month, commit to starting now, and continue for six months at least.  It has to be automatic.  If you are like most people, you will find out that you barely notice that the money is not in your checking account.  Then, in six months, if it has not hurt, do it again.  And again. 

Using this method, I have observed people more than double their monthly investments.  And that alone can make a significant impact on their long-term accumulation.

Patrick Stoa

For questions, comments, and conversation, call us at 920-617-6830.

The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete, it is not a statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision, and it does not constitute a recommendation.  Any opinions are those of Patrick Stoa and not necessarily those of Raymond James.

What is Investing?

Here is an interesting question:  What does it actually mean to invest?  When we were thinking of topics to bring to you, we kept coming back to foundational questions, to help you understand what we are really doing.  At the most fundamental level, investing is spending time, effort, or money in the hopes that whatever is acquired or built will return a better value to you in the future. 

In one sense, we invest every day.  For a simple example, we may spend time building a deck on our house, because we value the time we will spend there with family more than we valued the time, effort, and materials it took to build it.

Before we continue, perhaps it makes sense to question why we should invest at all.  Why not just spend all our money as we earn it?  Well, if we could work all our lives, and earn what we need up until the day we die, there would be no need for financial planning at all.  That used to be a reality.  The average life expectancy of someone born in the 1920’s was 53 years.   Fortunately, general health and medical advancements provide most of us with a much longer life well beyond our working and earning years. 

For a time, pensions were somewhat common, to provide income after our productive years.  Now, however, pensions are quite rare.   

So, back to the question – Why invest at all?  People have to invest because they are likely to outlive their ability to produce income, and most people would like an income and lifestyle above the income provided by Social Security.

There are many types of investments available.  Two very common types are:

1.        Stocks – owning a portion of a company and participating in the potential profitability of that company.  The company may pay out cash on hand to owners in the form of dividends.  At some point in time, the investor may sell their ownership interest.  If they can sell it for more than they paid, a profit will occur there as well.

2.       Bonds – loaning your money to a company.  The company then has regularly scheduled interest payments, and eventually a payment to return the principal of the loan. 

One subject that comes up relative to investing from time to time is the sense of “gambling.”  There are a few common sources to this feeling.  Market volatility is well reported in the media, can create unease, and is completely outside of your control.  There are a few things within your control, however.  Proper diversification and asset allocation can change both the level of risk and types of risk in your portfolio.  It really takes a team approach between the client, the advisor, and professional money managers to consider these things to be systematically and purposely invested.

Patrick Stoa

For questions, comments, and conversation, call us at 920-617-6830 

Any opinions are those of Mike Macco and Patrick Stoa and not necessarily those of Raymond James. Diversification does not ensure a profit or guarantee against a loss. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. Dividends are not guaranteed and must be authorized by the company’s board of directors. There is an inverse relationship between interest rate movements and bond prices. Generally, when interest rates rise, bond prices fall and when interest rates fall, bond prices generally rise.

"Getting Naked"

Recently, a friend lent a book to me from his rather large collection.  It was “Getting Naked” by Patrick Lencioni.  Quite simply, the plot was light and enjoyable, while the lessons were demonstrated exceptionally well.

“Naked service is about being completely vulnerable with clients—open, selfless, humble, transparent, and kind. It means that you always act in the client’s best interests, and don’t over-think what you say and how you say it.”

                                                                                                -Patrick Lencioni 

The story starts with a very large consulting firm acquiring, and trying to integrate, a small consulting firm.  The manager from the larger firm is assigned to lead the integration, and he is regularly bewildered by the way the small firm works.  Time and time again, the smaller firm demonstrates a very transparent communication style, while his large firm is very reserved, almost aloof.  The larger firm seems to want to demonstrate their intellectual superiority to their clients rather than understand them.  Not surprisingly, the two communication styles are incompatible, and some conflict emerges in the attempted integration.

The key thoughts are generously summarized at the end of the book.  These points could be valuable to almost any relationship, and even had me thinking about some of my interactions with certain family and friends. 

How does all this relate to finances and investing?  As financial advisors, relationships are extremely important to us.  Clients are central to us, and in my opinion, the very intimate and personal conversations we are privileged to be a part of are truly my favorite part of the whole business. 

If you want to have a conversation or a coffee, call me at 920-617-6830.

Patrick Stoa

Raymond James is not affiliated with nor endorses the book, “Getting Naked,” or its author, Patrick Lencioni.  Opinions expressed in the video are those of the speakers and are not necessarily those of Raymond James.